Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 10.432980 12.022634 13.727623 15.687042 17.871172 20.225428 22.949339
2025-09-14 8.165053 10.282867 12.717119 15.701615 19.240395 23.280156 28.216920
2025-09-21 6.867878 9.258222 12.153151 15.875790 20.490505 25.975769 32.936816
2025-09-28 5.863340 8.387877 11.586353 15.868678 21.377000 28.144272 36.997211
2025-10-05 5.250794 7.911206 11.415629 16.271112 22.712649 30.844924 41.750277
2025-10-12 4.710430 7.449519 11.190034 16.537257 23.831310 33.265811 46.196454
2025-10-19 4.204281 6.966984 10.871880 16.620967 24.668866 35.313301 50.195402
2025-10-26 3.627812 6.309701 10.236676 16.193313 24.750570 36.321581 52.818229
2025-11-02 3.170257 5.776909 9.724577 15.883194 24.946568 37.454143 55.607308
2025-11-09 2.771306 5.288561 9.229121 15.546381 25.060722 38.447217 58.205864
2025-11-16 2.436746 4.865770 8.792646 15.254938 25.204155 39.460258 60.836614
2025-11-23 2.108944 4.414716 8.268222 14.781211 25.033396 39.994078 62.780613
2025-11-30 1.920263 4.192056 8.101562 14.864584 25.716087 41.800581 66.626914
2025-12-07 1.739710 3.962892 7.902922 14.878025 26.282835 43.447588 70.286169
2025-12-14 1.603583 3.801540 7.804938 15.044642 27.087688 45.465808 74.538767
2025-12-21 1.455837 3.598794 7.614689 15.037838 27.605060 47.054419 78.186267
2025-12-28 1.377004 3.527028 7.653898 15.422878 28.768447 49.662558 83.430885
2026-01-04 1.287796 3.422455 7.622270 15.677560 29.720788 51.965075 88.265210
2026-01-11 1.185464 3.276503 7.499079 15.757672 30.377721 53.816141 92.447358
2026-01-18 1.039029 3.011570 7.121462 15.348436 30.178254 54.290848 94.497123
2026-01-25 0.920373 2.794027 6.817465 15.051725 30.150755 55.028832 96.964046
2026-02-01 0.812167 2.585532 6.512224 14.729526 30.056829 55.645259 99.242049
2026-02-08 0.719390 2.401376 6.240291 14.450773 30.020893 56.346121 101.661031